In Sorted, Squad Sheet, Strategy on November 10, 2012 at 4:22 am
We’ve returned with our signature fantasy premier league tips production – Last Minute Tinkers. All 10 Barclays Premier League fixtures chatted-up, brought home and kicked out before breakfast. Enjoy.
Arsenal v Fulham
The top defense in the Premier League will face Martin Jol’s high-powered offense in gameweek 11. Long-time readers will know how frequently we tout the cost-effective defensive options and both sides here are deep in the defensive ranks with several inexpensive selections on either side. For that reason we have split this match differently and we’re looking at the players by position.
Defensively, we’re not trusting anyone. With Arsenal having been blanked only once at home in the League and Fulham sitting on 21 goals to day, both sets of defenders are likely to concede at least one. Only 3.3% of fantasy premier league managers own Gunners’ ‘keeper Mannone and 4.9% of managers own Mark Schwarzer. Read the rest of this entry »
In Strategy on October 15, 2012 at 11:31 pm
EPL fantasy season runs a great many months, spotted with frequent breaks and periods of madness. It behooves us to take a breath and reset our expectations based on the information we have gathered over the opening seven gameweeks of the 2012-13 Barclays Premier League season. Perhaps the most interesting aspect of this game is predicting Fantasy Premier League bonus points. Bonus points (BP) are based on EA Sports Player Performance Index (EAS PPI) scores and vary from match to match and week to week. In other words, a player’s EAS PPI of 18 (higher is better) may earn three (3) BP in a scoreless draw, while another player who rates an 18 in a 4-1 match does not earn a single BP.
It is no surprise that the bonus points skew towards goal scorers. The top three, and four of the top six, are all rated Forward in the FPL. EPL fantasy managers will recognize these names and likely own them as their selection reflects their prices and early EPL fantasy success: Demba Ba (12 BP, 29.8% selected), Steven Fletcher (12 BP, 10.8% selected), Peter Crouch (11 BP, 9.1% selected) and Fernando Torres (nine BP, 25.5% selected).
Steven Fletcher is the most remarkable player in the league this season. Aside from his unbelievable scoring record — he netted five goals in his opening four matches with Sunderland — he also recorded four consecutive outings with the max. three BP. His 12 BP have come in five BPL fixtures while Demba Ba, level with 12 BP, has played in all seven of the Magpies League fixtures. Ba has also recorded the max. three BP in four fixtures, corresponding with the four fixtures in which he scored. Read the rest of this entry »
In News of the Day, Squad Sheet on October 3, 2012 at 12:17 am
Two Barclays Premier League sides took the pitch in Champions League action on Tuesday with some important fantasy EPL news coming from those fixtures.
CFR Cluj-Napoca 1-2 Manchester United
Manchester United sXI: de Gea; Evra Evans Ferdinand Rafael; Anderson Fletcher Cleverley; van Persie Rooney Chicharito (4-3-3)
Substitutes: Wootton (Evans 79′); Welbeck (Chicharito 83′)
Injury news for Manchester United. Unsurprisingly it is a member of Sir Alex Ferguson’s defense that has come up lame:
Jonny Evans faces a race against time to be fit for Sunday’s Barclays Premier League clash at Newcastle after failing to shake off a dead leg against CFR Cluj. The centre-back was hurt in the closing stages of the defeat to Tottenham but kept his place in the line-up for the trip to Romania, partnering Rio Ferdinand at the heart of the defence. Read the rest of this entry »
In News of the Day on October 1, 2012 at 3:09 pm
A few more quick notes coming out today that are important for EPL fantasy managers. First are the comments coming from Arsenal’s Kieran Gibbs that he has been given license to press the attack. From Arsenal.com:
Gibbs’ average position in the 0-0 draw at Stoke was more advanced than striker Lukas Podolski’s. The England international says that is not just down to his instincts. “The boss is always telling me, ever since pre-season, to play high and wide and stretch the team, to let the midfielders have more room,” Gibbs told Arsenal Player.
We’ll cover Gibbs below, but the news on Podolski is less encouraging. Podolski has a world of talent but has not performed as well as EPL fantasy managers may have expected. Four of his six matches have ended with 2 points, while he has yet to finish more than 81′ in a single appearance. Opta stats (via EPLIndex.comd) illustrate that he is not created many chances for his teammates — eight chances created in six matches — but is shooting well. The shooting stats are also important. His two goals have come from 10 shots and Opta has his shooting accuracy at 57% through six BPL fixtures. We liked Podolski at the start of the year as the heir to Robin van Persie’s goals, penalty duty and free kicks. He is not currently creating enough to contribute EPL fantasy points through assists, though his shooting is on pace to see him netting a respectable 12 goals. Back to Gibbs. Read the rest of this entry »
In News of the Day, Player Projection on September 27, 2012 at 2:57 pm
More League Cup action kicked-off on Wednesday and more EPL fantasy news and notes came from each fixture. The biggest news of the day were the appearance of returning players and others breaking their duck.
Arsenal 6-1 Coventry
Giroud (39′), OX (57′), Arshavin (63′), Walcott (74′), Miquel (80′), Walcott (90′)
Arsenal sXI: Martinez; Djourou Miquel Santos Angha; Arshavic Coquelin Yennaris OX Walcott; Giroud
Substitutes: Frimpong (Coquelin 72′); Gnabry (OX 72′); Chamakh (Giroud 72′)
Theo Walcott bagged a brace. The England winger has not featured prominently for Arsene Wenger’s side side the arrival of Lukas Podolski and Olivier Giroud. Walcott was a 72′ substitute in the 1-1 draw with Manchester City and has played 131′ of 450′ available EPL fantasy minutes this season. Giroud scored his first for Arsenal, opening scoring on 39′. He also missed a penalty in this match and Theo Walcott is doing more to solidify his claims that he should be the starting striker for the current incarnation of the Gunners attack. Walcott certainly had a lethal touch in this one and has already opened his Premier League account with a 88′ strike against Southampton after being introduced as a 75′ substitute (Gervinh0).
Carlisle 0-3 Tottenham
Vertonghen (37′), Townsend (53′), Sigurdsson (89′) Read the rest of this entry »
In Up The Tweets on September 24, 2012 at 5:17 pm
All new Up The Tweets! touches on Fantasy EPL implications of owning Arsenal’s defense, rating the Manchester City forwards and find inexpensive midfielder who create chances and see the pitch.
The man who would win “Best Mustache” amongst all our followers asks about Vermaelen and Arsenal’s slated fixtures:
We’re not opposed to owning Arsenal’s defense, but we’re uncomfortable investing the £7.1m necessary to select Thomas Vermaelen. Arsenal still face Chelsea September 29, but their schedule is considerably easier for the following three gameweeks in which they face: West Ham (a), West Brom (h) and QPR (a). Gibbs (£5.7m), Mertesacker (£5.1m) and Jenkinson (£4.9m) have each played the full 450′ this term in the Barclays Premier League and any of the three present substantial value over their Captain. Read the rest of this entry »
In News of the Day on September 24, 2012 at 3:04 pm
Fantasy EPL had a number of massive performances from defenders this weekend. Did you get Rafael, Baines or Ashley Cole in your side? Koscielny? Lescott?
Liverpool lost 1-2 to Manchester United on an emotional day at Anfield. There are problems in all phases of the game for the Reds, and few LFC players can be owned with confidence in fantasy EPL. The side is young, understrength and suffering from a lack of clinical finishing. They will also be struggling to field a defensive four:
[Martin Kelly], the 22-year-old England defender, underwent a scan on Monday morning. He told his Twitter followers: “It’s not the worst injury I’ve had and I’ll be fighting for my place next year when I’m back fitter and stronger.” Kelly’s injury adds to Liverpool’s injury worries as Daniel Agger suffered a suspected medial ligament injury.
There are fears Kelly will be out until the New Year. He and Agger have recorded the third and fourth most minutes for Liverpool – if they miss any time there should be added minutes for Sebastian Coates (£4.8m, 0.1% selected) and Jose Enrique (£5.9%, 4.7% selected).
Last season saw a massive debut for Kun Aguero and he could be in line for a repeat performance in gameweek 6. The Argentine striker started alongside Eden Dzeko in the 1-1 draw with Arsenal and played 84′. Read the rest of this entry »
In Sorted, Squad Sheet, Strategy, Uncategorized on September 21, 2012 at 6:12 pm
Fantasy Premier League managers your long wait is over. Last Minute Tinkers is here to address all of your needs. It’s a short one this week. We’ve written at length about the Champions League here and here and the injury news for the week seems set, with few impact players – from a fantasy premier league standpoint – due to undergo late fitness tests. Onward with part 2/2.
Wigan v Fulham
Dimitar Berbatov lived up our hype with a brace in his first start with Martin Jol’s side. Beratov will look to build on his already impressive resume with the Cottagers when they travel to Wigan. The Latics have scored four and allowed eight, including four goals at home where they have failed to win in two attempts. Fulham will be getting back Bryan Ruiz and will be without Diarra. Jol said “It could be the next couple of games…it could be longer” in relation to a knee injury the midfielder suffered while on international duty with Mali. This is good news for Kacaniklic owners as it limits the number of competitors for a midfield place, but significantly diminishes the prospect of keeping a cleansheet.
That said, we’re still invest in the Cottagers defenders Hangeland and Hughes as low cost options with a friendly set of fixtures and the ability to keep a cleansheet every other match. Low cost, low risk, but also low ceiling as neither present much in the way of attacking value.
For the Latics, we like Shaun Maloney (£5.0m, 1.4% selected; 1 goal 1 assist with 16 FPL pts) and have come to accept that Franco Di Santo will score goals. Di Santo has scored two goals in 300′ this term after scoring seven goals 2025′. Read the rest of this entry »
In News of the Day, Player Projection on September 20, 2012 at 1:15 am
Champions League Group Stage matches continued on Tuesday and EPL fantasy managers had their first chance to see squad rotations for Manchester United and Chelsea for the first time this season. Both English sides were playing their opening match at home and each had an opportuntity to take all three points thanks to the efforts of their summer signings.
On day soon, he’ll have scored his age.
Chelsea did not win. But not for lack of effort from young Brazialian Oscar. The summer signing has yet to make an EPL fantasy impact at Stamford Bridge — he has played 61′ in the Barclays Premier League this season. The start against Juventus was his first for Chelsea and his 31′ and 33′ minute goals put the Blues ahead before the allowed Juve back into the game on an Arturo Vidal strike on 38′.
EPL fantasy managers need to note that the starting lineup for this match featured a middle “3″ of Mikel-Lampard-Ramires, while the front “3″ was Oscar-Torres-Hazard. Read the rest of this entry »
In Team of the Week on September 16, 2012 at 10:52 pm
Fantasy Premier League managers around the globe suffered at their hands of their real-life counterparts as a number of interesting decisions left Barclays Premier League starts relegated to minor roles for the club sides. It was certainly understandable that Messrs. Di Matteo, Ferguson, Mancini and Wenger would have one eye on their opening Champions League fixtures, but some of those decisions sent ripples across fantasy premier league squad sheets. It is no surprise that, following the complete assessment of points and bonus points following Sunday’s fixture, the average Fantasy Premier League side had scored 31 points on average.
Perhaps the most notable decision was Sir Alex Ferguson bringing on Robin van Persie against Wigan. By the time the Dutch forward was introduced for Paul Scholes (71′), United were in control through goals from Scholes (51′), Chicharito (63′) and Alexander Büttner (66′). Van Persie had picked up a thigh injury in his last international outing, and was substituted at halftime of that match. Van Persie’s introduction locked Fantasy Premier League managers into a 2 point outing from their captain, as RVP was the most captained selection in the Official FPL this gameweek.
Shinji Kagawa was named in the squad but stayed on the bench Saturday. He had also been the subject of injury speculation following his withdrawal from the Japan squad with a back injury prior to their last match of the break. Read the rest of this entry »