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Last Minute Tinkers | Fantasy Premier League tips

In Sorted, Squad Sheet, Strategy on November 10, 2012 at 4:22 am

We’ve returned with our signature fantasy premier league tips production – Last Minute Tinkers. All 10 Barclays Premier League fixtures chatted-up, brought home and kicked out before breakfast. Enjoy.

Arsenal v Fulham

The top defense in the Premier League will face Martin Jol’s high-powered offense in gameweek 11. Long-time readers will know how frequently we tout the cost-effective defensive options and both sides here are deep in the defensive ranks with several inexpensive selections on either side. For that reason we have split this match differently and we’re looking at the players by position.

Defensively, we’re not trusting anyone. With Arsenal having been blanked only once at home in the League and Fulham sitting on 21 goals to day, both sets of defenders are likely to concede at least one. Only 3.3% of fantasy premier league managers own Gunners’ ‘keeper Mannone and 4.9% of managers own Mark Schwarzer. Read the rest of this entry »

Last Minute Tinkers | Fantasy Premier League Tips

In Sorted, Squad Sheet, Strategy on October 26, 2012 at 10:23 pm

Fantasy Premier League tips: read LAST MINUTE TINKERS! Set lineup. We’re starting strong because we’re ending quickly. Hot out of the gate in an attempt to overcome this crushing head cold that has us bedridden heading into the weekend.

Aston Villa v Norwich

Key Injuries: Clark

Chris Hughton’s Norwich put in a top shift against Arsenal a week ago to earn three unexpected points in a 1-0 victory. However, if there is one man who should be acutely aware of the Canaries defensive frailties it is former boss Paul Lambert, now managing Aston Villa. Lambert will have to once more decide between Christian Benteke and Darren Bent. We would be more interested if either striker had shown the ability to score this term. Additionally, one time FantasyGaffer favourites Barry Bannan and Charles N’Zogbia are not receiving enough playing time to justify owning in Fantasy Premier League. Bannan (38′ in last three BPL fixtures) and N’Zogbia (105′ in last six BPL fixtures) should not be owned at this point.

A quick fantasy premier league tip from Opta stats: NO Aston Villa player has created more than 11 chances (Darren Bent). Bannan (nine), Holman and Lowton (eight each) are the only players with more than seven chances created. Read the rest of this entry »

Last Minute Tinkers | Fantasy Premier League Tips

In Sorted, Squad Sheet, Strategy on October 19, 2012 at 6:20 pm

With Fantasy Premier League tips needed as the League returns to action, Last Minute Tinkers are back following the international break a few players light. Theo Walcott, Bryan Ruiz, Kieran Gibbs and David Silva all look set to miss out while Dimitar Berbatov and Mladen Petric are reportedly fit to return. Plenty more names face late fitness and we recap the season to date below. Part 1/2 Available Here.

Manchester United v Stoke City

The Red Devils will welcome back Ashley Young following two months on the sidelines with a foot injury. The trio of Young, Nani and Antonio Valencia will likely continue to rotate. While the offense is remarkably consistent, the plethora of attacking options make owning any of the midfielders a difficult proposition.

We’re not covering United in much depth because until we see the rotation of a fully healthy squad we can not handicap the value in FPL against playing time and price. Our love of Nani is well documented and we do not care to own Shinji Kagawa at this point in the season. Low cost options like Tom Cleverley provide an inexpensive route to playing a five-man midfield but frankly we’d prefer to start James Morrison, Matt Jarvis or Raheem Sterling. Read the rest of this entry »

EPL Fantasy Rewind | FPL Bonus Points

In Strategy on October 15, 2012 at 11:31 pm

EPL fantasy season runs a great many months, spotted with frequent breaks and periods of madness. It behooves us to take a breath and reset our expectations based on the information we have gathered over the opening seven gameweeks of the 2012-13 Barclays Premier League season. Perhaps the most interesting aspect of this game is predicting Fantasy Premier League bonus points. Bonus points (BP) are based on EA Sports Player Performance Index (EAS PPI) scores and vary from match to match and week to week. In other words, a player’s EAS PPI of 18 (higher is better) may earn three (3) BP in a scoreless draw, while another player who rates an 18 in a 4-1 match does not earn a single BP.

It is no surprise that the bonus points skew towards goal scorers. The top three, and four of the top six, are all rated Forward in the FPL. EPL fantasy managers will recognize these names and likely own them as their selection reflects their prices and early EPL fantasy success: Demba Ba (12 BP, 29.8% selected), Steven Fletcher (12 BP, 10.8% selected), Peter Crouch (11 BP, 9.1% selected) and Fernando Torres (nine BP, 25.5% selected).

Steven Fletcher is the most remarkable player in the league this season. Aside from his unbelievable scoring record — he netted five goals in his opening four matches with Sunderland — he also recorded four consecutive outings with the max. three BP. His 12 BP have come in five BPL fixtures while Demba Ba, level with 12 BP, has played in all seven of the Magpies League fixtures. Ba has also recorded the max. three BP in four fixtures, corresponding with the four fixtures in which he scored. Read the rest of this entry »

News & Notes | EPL Fantasy

In News of the Day, Team of the Week on October 1, 2012 at 1:17 am

EPL Fantasy News & Notes are once again focused on injuries and omissions from the weekend. With one match still to play, gamweek six was a flurry of scoring and a number of players bagged braces or better – we’ve covered some of the highlights of the weekend below as well.

For Alan Pardew, a Demba Ba handball spared the Magpie’s blushes against a Reading side that had taken one point from their opening four Barclays Premier League fixtures. While Ba was captained in a number of EPL fantasy sides this weekend, his club captain missed the match with a set-back in his return from injury:

Magpies captain Coloccini has made just three appearances this season and returned from a hamstring injury picked up on Argentina duty in last week’s Capital One Cup defeat by the Red Devils. He subsequently sat out Saturday’s 2-2 draw at Reading, while fellow centre-half Taylor suffered a hamstring injury early in the second half at the Madejski Stadium. Both players are expected to miss the Europa League tie against Bordeaux on Thursday and Pardew hopes the defenders will recover in time to face Sir Alex Ferguson’s United.

Bad news for Newcastle as their defense has been poor, posting one cleansheet in six tries. The continued absence of Coloccini would provide a buying opportunity for a number of discount defensive options — chiefly £3.9m-rated James Tavernier — but the next BPL fixture v Manchester United is highly unlikely to yield a cleansheet bonus. Read the rest of this entry »

Last Minute Tinkers | Fantasy Premier League

In Sorted, Squad Sheet, Strategy on September 21, 2012 at 6:12 pm

Fantasy Premier League managers your long wait is over. Last Minute Tinkers is here to address all of your needs. It’s a short one this week. We’ve written at length about the Champions League here and here and the injury news for the week seems set, with few impact players – from a fantasy premier league standpoint – due to undergo late fitness tests. Onward with part 1/2.

Swansea v Everton

This is not a simple match for either side. The corresponding fixture a season ago ended in a 2-2 draw and featured a free-kick goal from Leighton Baines that would do many Fantasy EPL sides a bit of good this weekend. We have made an exception to our mantras of ‘no high priced defenders’ and ‘you can not predict defender scoring’ for the new England left-back. Until his price climbs into a new, higher tier he is undervalued for the production he provides. Steve Pienaar is frequently the subject of our praise, and he remains an exception fantasy premier league player and recorded two assists in gameweek 4.

The only negative for David Moyes’ squad are the absences:

If you own Swansea defenders, you are riding them out in this match unless you’ve significant depth assembled. Read the rest of this entry »

Fantasy Premier League Bonus Points GW1

In Buying Guide, Strategy, Team of the Week on August 22, 2012 at 3:18 am

We will not do this every week, but we will periodically look at the trends in assigning bonus points for the Official Fantasy Premier League.  For those who are unaware, FPL bonus points are assigned to the Top 3 performers as judged by the EA Sports Player Performance Index. The EAS PPI is a proprietary formula that looks at a players whole performance, not simply their goals, assists and clean sheets. Last season, the EAS PPI was skewed towards attacking players, with those players who had high pass success completion rates and high chances-to-goal conversion rates — as well as good shot-to-shot on target ratios.  For this reason, players like Clint Dempsey were punished. Despite his phenomenal season, Dempsey earned only 22 bonus points last season. A portion of this was down to Dempsey’s poor, relatively speaking, passing numbers and the volume of shots he required to net his 17 goals.

Each of the 20 Barclays Premier League clubs have now played one competitive fixture in the league this season.  While the gameweek will not end until after the Chelsea v. Reading fixture, we wanted to look at this if there were a regular gameweek. Two quick points before we get into the positions. First, goalkeepers again earned no bonus points for the game week. Second, there were a disproportionate number of lopsided scorelines this season and, as a result, all bonus points were awarded to players for the winning sides.

Defenders. The three players with three bonus points came from an interesting set of fixtures. The game score for James Collins was 25, while the game score for Winston Reid and Kevin Nolan was just 20. Read the rest of this entry »

Stoke City Buying Guide | Fantasy Premier League

In Buying Guide, Pre-Season, Strategy on August 11, 2012 at 8:15 pm

Stoke City have yet to make a splash in the summer transfer window. More players have departed then arrived, and those who’ve come in do not look to make a major impact in their weakest area – goal scoring. This is not to say they were good at preventing goals last season, but the dearth of goals scored by the 2011-12 incarnation of the Potters must be addressed.

Stoke City kept 9 clean sheets a year ago. Sorensen played 1422′ and kept three clean sheets while Begovic played 1988′ and kept the other six. Neither should be owned through GW 10 as they would require heavy rotation and do not provide good value in the weeks where bad match-ups elsewhere require your to start them

Robert Huth is battling an illness. It is possible that he suffers ill effects from the that over the first few weeks of the season. He has scored 3, 6, and 3 goals over the past three seasons. We never advocate paying extra for goal production but is priced at just £5.5m and selected in 1.6%. Fantasy premier league managers will need to rotate Huth, Higgenbotham, Upson, Shawcross or the rest heavily. Reading followed by Arsenal, Wigan followed by Man City and Cheslsea, Swansea then Liverpool and Man Utd. Read the rest of this entry »