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Transfer Recap | Fantasy Premier League

In Player Projection, Strategy on September 6, 2012 at 12:33 am

This is the second part of a post we started here. These are all the players added to the Fantasy Premier League following Deadline Day. There may also be one or two newcomers who played at the weekend whom we had not previously covered in depth.

Aston Villa:

Jordan Bowery (£4.5, 0.0% selected)

Of the new arrivals, Bowery is the least likely to make an impact in fantasy EPL this season. He is behind Bent, Agbonlahor, Weismann and fellow new boy Benteke. No reason to invest, but he is one to watch for the future.

Ashley Westwood (£5.0m, 0.0% selected)

Westwood had already assisted on two goals for Crewe before making his move to the Premier League.  At £5.0m we’re not buying him over the already established Barry Bannan. Bannan is priced £4.9m and assisted on Aston Villa’s goal against Newcastle.  We’re unsure where any of the new signings fit at the moment, with Aston Villa seemingly flush with young midfielders — even N’Zogbia and Ireland are only 26 — but Westwoood possess the skill to play. We’ll watch him for several weeks, but if he is able to break into Lambert’s first XI, we would consider adding him as a bench option when Aston Villa hit an easier stretch of opponent.

Christian Benteke (£6.5m, 0.0% selected)

Benteke has arrived and looks to learn from and link with Darren Bent. It remains to be seen if this new arrival will provide a spark under Bent, either with a new foil on the pitch or fresh competition for a first-team place on the training ground. He has scored well on two loan stints, first with KV Kortrijk in 2009-10 when he scored 14 in 34, and the following season in which he scored six in 18 appearances for  KV Mechelen. However, it is his record for former club Genk that the Villains will be hoping he recreates on his new home pitch. The Belgium international scored 19 goals in 34 appearances for Genk before his transfer to Villa Park. The opening FPL price makes him an attractive option, but it remains to be seen how Paul Lambert will deploy the 21-year-old. Gabby Agbonlahor is also set to return from injury, which could provide an attractive three-pronged strike force, should Lambert decide to field the three together.

Swansea may prove a stern test in the first week back, but Southamtpon  should be a easier defense to open in gameweek 5. If this team doesn’t look to have found their scoring form by then, this could be another long season at Villa Park and fantasy premier league managers would do well to look for more established, proficient goal scorers.

Everton:

Bryan Oviedo (£5.0m, 0.0% selected)

the 22-year-old mifielder is not much of a goal scorer and will likely struggle to find many minutes in the Premier League this season. The Toffee’s midfield is both top-heavy — Pienaar, Fellainni — and deep — eight eligible FPL midfielders — with the starting XI unlikely to fluctuate.  His price is inexpensive, but he will need to play frequently to earn enough points to justify ownership.

Oviedo was a left back at his old club, Copenhagen, and would be in direct competition with Leighton Baines to play at his natural position. Interestingly, he has been rated a midfielder in the Fantasy Premier League and is listed as such on Everton’s own home page.

In, not added: Matthew Kennedy (Kilmarnock), Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe (Club Brugge)

Fulham:

Ashkan Dejagah (£5.5m, 0.0% selected)

The 26-year-old midfielder should provide more deep midfield cover for Martin Jol’s side. Jol has recently said that he missed the creative influence of Moussa Dembélé in the loss against West Ham.  Dejagah had 24 starts a season ago for VfL Wolfsburg, recording three goals and seven assists in the Bundeliga. Fulham do not have a true shortage of creative options at the moment, they simply need to integrate Bryan Ruiz, Berbatov, Petric and Rodallega. Certainly. Ruiz can play an attacking midfield role with Rodallega assigned to one wing. That does, however, leave Dejagah to take up a holding position with Diarra, and that does not make him an appealing addition in fantasy premier league. FPL owners may see a handful of assists, and any player can score one or two, but there simply is not enough potential to invest here at the moment.

In, not added: Chris David (FC Twente)

Manchester City:

Matija Nastasic (£5.5m, 0.0% selected)

We’ve written about the Manchester City defense several time, notably in the City Buying Guide, and in our recent Up The Tweets! post. Mancini’s side possess several attractive-looking options at the back, but the current rotation, the need to satisfy many egos and the Citizens inability to keep a clean sheet should see ownership of all of Mancini’s defenders fall in the coming days.  We’re not investing in Nastasic and prefer to own many of their premier attacking options.

Javi Garcia (£5.5m, 0.0% selected)

Image via FootandBallWhat is the best season we can expect from Garcia in EPL fantasy terms? Is it unfair to say that Gareth Barry’s 2011-12 season should be considered a floor, 2734′ with one goal and three assists. The season before, 2702′ with two goals and three assists, does not paint the most recent arrival in a more flattering light. There can be no doubt that he was brought in to play defense.  In his last 64 games in La Liga, the Spain international has scored five goals.  We are cimply not expecting

Newcastle:

Gael Bigirimana (£4.4m, 0.1% selected)

In light of the recent injuries to Ryan Taylor and Danny Simpson, we feel it is important to touch on Bigirimana for a moment.  We noted here the Alan Pardew appreciates the young man’s versatility and he may be set to play out of position in defense. This is never a good thing, as he gets none of the benefit (+4 clean sheet) of defense while also destroying his attacking potential.   If he continues to get games, we suppose it still makes sense to add him as a fifth midfielder and second or third bench option simply because he would be guaranteed to provide some points in the event of an auto-substitution. However, the real reason we’re mentioning this is that his shift to cover for Danny Simpson (or Ryan Taylor) would take away one spot from a Geordie defender, as rated by fantasy premier leagues. Currently, Simpson and Taylor are joined in the physio’s room by James Perch, which leaves two £4m rated defenders — Tavernier, Good — and one £4.4m — Williamson — to fill two spots on the back line. NUFC faces Everton (a), Norwich (h) and Reading (a) over the next three and adding a discount defender to free up capital elsewhere is always a good idea.

QPR:

Stéphane M’Bia  (£5m, 0.0% selected)

Mbia joined Armand Traore and Jose Boswinga as £5m-rated defenders in Mark Hughes’ side. Chelsea and Tottenham are their first two opponents after the international break and we’re expecting Rangers to concede liberally. Find that unfair if you like, but for the second consecutive summer they have brought a bushel of new faces (disturbing image, really) to Loftus Road and we have yet to see a cohesive side formed. We’re certainly not investing before gameweek 6. We do have to say, to his credit, M’Bia had two goals in 14 starts for Marseille in Ligue 1 last term. We would certainly consider buying either M’Bia or Bosingwa if we felt there was enough dedication at the back to provide an occasional clean sheet and if they had reached a softer portion of the schedule.

In, not added: Sam Magri (Portsmouth)

Southampton:

Gaston Ramirez (£6m, 0.0% selected)

He had 28 starts and five substitute appearances in Seire A for Bologna last season. The 21-year-old midfielder scored Image via Independent.co.ukeight goals and four assists on 59 shots with 22 of those finding the target. This signing has to be considered a coup for Nigel Adkins. He has room to grow and mature into an excellent midfielder, while still providing excellent service in his formative seasons. The question EPL fantasy managers need to address is his likelihood of starting every game. To start, please put aside thoughts that he is the next Michu. Michu is not even the next Michu. We are operating under the following assumptions.  The first is that Southampton will play 4-5-1 or some other variation where Ricky Lambert or Jay Rodriguez are the loan striker. The second is that Schneiderlin and Lallana are every week starters. That leaves three spots for Ramirez, Guly, Steven Davis and a rotation of Puncheon, Ward-Prowse and the rest.

The good news is that Southampton have need of a creative midfielder. Ricky Lambert leads the Saints with nine chances created and it is defender David Fox who is second on the team with five. That follows what we know about the Saints last term – Lambert led the side with 12 assists while Fox was second with 11, one ahead of midfielder Adam Lallana. We would likely continue to own Lallana over the new signing.  That is not to say we would not invest in the Uruguay international, but we would like to see where he is lined-up first.  Provided he is allowed to freely roam the pitch, Ramirez could find himself in a position similar to Scott Sinclair last term. Sinclair finished with eight goals and five assists in 3120′.

This was republished from the first installment of Up The Tweets!.

Stoke City:

Maurice Edu (£4.5, 0.0% selected)

One of the many to be shed from Rangers roster following their prolonged unpleasantness….Edu arrives at a time when he may not be guaranteed to start. The competition for a spot, as well as the general bias against American players (justified or otherwise) did not help boost his value, but the £4.5m price is still a lot for a player who scored five goals with five assists in 63 SPL league games for Rangers. Interesting that Stoke have elected to add Edu, Nzonzi and Adam all in the same window as they essentially play modified versions of the same position. Clearly Stoke have not been happy with their current midfields ability to hold and distribute the ball and the additions of Edu and Nzonzi address a lack of ball-winning midfield players.

Steven Nzonzi (£5m, 0.0% selected)

The former Blackburn Rover, Nzonzi had a significantly better real season than fantasy season last year.  He played 2811′ and scored two goals with five assists.  We like the addition o Nzonzi for Walters value, adding another deep lying midfielder will allow Walters to continue to range further up field if he is slotted behind Michael Owen and Peter Crouch.  Stoke suddenly have competition for midfield places. Charlie Adam, Michael Kightly, and Glenn Whelan as well as Pennant, Shotton and more. We expect that Adam will be the main addition to the current midfield and we are not planning on buying the former ‘pools man for £6.8m while Walters still takes the penalties.

Michael Owen (not registered with Premier League as of 05 Sept.)

Owen’s arrival, and impending pricing in fantasy EPL, complicates a once simple situation. Jonathan Walters and Peter Crouch have led the Potter’s line since Crouch’s arrival. The taller forward has been priced at £6.5m which is more a comment on the Potter’s than Crouch’s own scoring prowess. He has two 10 goal seasons in two his credit and has assisted on at least five goals in each of the past four campaigns. That is good return for the price, but forecasting his scoring is a bit difficult.  We raise the issue of Crouch’s price because Owen certainly should not be priced higher than that. In fact, we do not see how he could even be priced as high as Cameron Jerome (currently £5.4m). If Owen comes in at £5m, there should be some interest and we may consider a short-term play as an investment in price increase, even if we do not believe he will earn enough minutes to provide many FPL points.

Swansea:

Pablo Hernandez (£6.5m, 0,0% selected)

If only the Fantasy Premier League had priced Pablo a few quid less we would be jumping at the chance to add him in the short term. Given the price tag we’re unsure that he makes a valuable addition as an investment, but he may still prove a valuable source of Fantasy EPL points. Hernandez is not an explosive winger in the Theo Walcott or Gareth Bale mould. His last three season with Valencia have resulted in the following stat lines:

Starts Sub Goals Asst Shots On Target
25 8 5 6 50 19
20 7 5 6 35 17
19 11 3 3 40 15

That said, we do not expect that he moves directly into the starting XI. The departure of Scott Sinclair to Manchester City would have result in more of an impact in Fantasy EPL circles if they had not recorded 2-1-0 with 10 goals for and just two allowed. As it is, Laudrup’s Swans are sitting second in the table and still have one of the easiest schedules over the next five weeks. They have Aston Villa next, with Everton, Stoke, Reading, and Wigan between now and gameweek 8. The suspension of Chico and the season-ending injury of Neil Taylor may cause some significant reshuffling of the deck. We still don’t know who will make up the new Swans back line but we are no longer surprised at anything that happens at Liberty Stadium. More as it unfolds.

Tottenham:

Hugo Lloris (£6m, 0.1% selected)

Pictured: Lloris’ last smile in London

This had to be wholly rewritten after just four days. You must be impressed with Andre Villas-Boas working so efficiently to alienate a player that he himself had purchased. Brad Friedel looks to have maintained his hold on the #1 shirt for the moment. The American ‘keeper posted an excellent outing in the 1-1 draw, recording three saves. He is priced at £5.5m and is selected in 6.6% of Fantasy Premier League sides. Until we see that Lloris is the starter, and not just a one-week start, we can not invest. Given Spurs recent spate of late goals allowed, we’re likely not spending £6m unless their new keeper shows he can turn the tide.

West Brom:

Goran Popov (£5.om, 0.0% selected)

West Brom have allowed only one goal through their opening three Barclays Premier League fixtures. With that impressive record we do not know if Steve Clarke is going to shuffle the deck immediately, or allow the current starters to hold their job after the break. They have been playing Liam Ridgewell at left back, Popov’s position, with Olsson and McAuley in the center. Steven Reid is the current right back, and rated a £5.0m midfielder in Fantasy Premier League. Said Clarke of the transfer:

“We allowed two left-backs to leave at the end of last season so it’s very pleasing we’ve got another naturally left-sided player within the group to give us more balance. We’ve now got good competition for places in all areas of the squad. Goran is a player the club have closely monitored for around three years so we know what we’re getting.”

Regardless, we’re looking to invest in Baggies defenders. Can not believe we just wrote that sentence. However, they have Fulham, Reading, Aston Villa and QPR in the next four gameweeks. With Ridgewell and Popov apparently keeping one another fighting for a first team spot, we would look at Olsson (£5.0m) or McAuley (£5.1m) before taking the plunge on the newest face at The Hawthorns.

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